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Solana: $1B Liquidations and Treasury Growth – A Discrepancy

Polkadotedge 2025-11-05 Total views: 4, Total comments: 0 solana

Crushed Crypto Longs and Upexi's SOL Stack: A Risky Game of Leverage

Bitcoin's flash crash on Monday—a plunge from $112,000 to under $106,000—wasn't just a blip. It was a $1.27 billion liquidation event, with long traders taking almost 90% of the hit, according to CoinGlass data. We're talking about $1.14 billion in bullish bets gone up in smoke. Shorts? They only lost $128 million. This wasn't a balanced market correction; it was a massacre of the over-leveraged.

Liquidations, for those unfamiliar, are the crypto market’s equivalent of a margin call on steroids. When prices move against a leveraged position, exchanges automatically close it out to cover losses. And when it happens en masse, as it did on Monday, the resulting cascade can amplify price swings, especially during low-liquidity periods. The biggest single liquidation? A $33.95 million BTC-USDT long on HTX. Hyperliquid saw $374 million in forced closures (98% longs), followed by Bybit at $315 million, and Binance at $250 million.

This "clearing moment," as some call it, resets leverage and allows spot buyers to re-enter. But with open interest still hovering near $30 billion and funding rates barely budging, it seems traders are bracing for more volatility, especially with the Fed's rate decision looming. Ethereum and Solana weren't spared either, with combined liquidations exceeding $300 million. It's a bloodbath out there, folks. BTC, ETH, XRP , SOL News: Traders Lose Over $1B in 24 Hours as Longs Get Crushed

Upexi's Solana Bet: Riding the Wave or About to Wipe Out?

Amidst this volatility, there's Upexi (UPXI), a Nasdaq-listed firm with a treasury full of Solana. As of October 31, they held 2,106,989 SOL, a 4.4% increase since September 10. At Solana's month-end price of $188.56, that stash was worth $397 million. They bought it for $325 million, or $157.66 per SOL, giving them an unrealized gain of $72 million (including price appreciation, staking rewards, and a discount on locked SOL).

But here's where it gets interesting. That 15% drop in SOL's price on Monday—down to around $160.94—slashed the value of their holdings to about $340 million, cutting that paper gain to approximately $15 million. This isn't just a theoretical exercise; it's real money evaporating before our eyes. And Upexi's stock? Down 75% from its spring/summer peak. Their market cap-to-net asset value ratio is currently around 0.7.

Solana: $1B Liquidations and Treasury Growth – A Discrepancy

Upexi CEO Allan Marshall claims they're "positioned to grow despite reduced treasury company sentiment." He points to a 47% increase in adjusted SOL per share (in SOL terms) and an 82% increase in dollar terms since launching their treasury initiative in April. Investors who bought shares at $2.28 have seen a 96% return, outpacing Solana's 24% gain over the same period. (Upexi shares closed down 14.1% on Monday at $3.84, per TradingView.)

Nearly all of Upexi's SOL is staked, generating an estimated 7% to 8% yield, or roughly $75,000 in daily revenue. About 42% of their holdings are locked SOL acquired at a "mid-teens discount" to spot price. Upexi Chief Strategy Officer Brian Rudick, who joined the firm in May from GSR, believes they can "monetize this for our shareholders." But can they really? That's the question.

The Staking Mirage: Is It Real Profit or Just Smoke and Mirrors?

I've looked at hundreds of these filings, and this staking narrative always raises an eyebrow. Yes, Upexi is earning $75,000 a day in staking rewards. But that's not "free money." It's newly minted SOL being added to the total supply, which, all things being equal, dilutes the value of all SOL, including Upexi's. It's like a company paying dividends with newly printed stock. It looks good on paper, but it's not sustainable unless the underlying asset is appreciating faster than the dilution rate.

And this is the part of the report that I find genuinely puzzling. Upexi claims investors who bought at $2.28 have seen a 96% return, outpacing Solana's 24% gain. But what about investors who bought before the Solana treasury strategy? What about the 75% drop from the spring/summer peak? Are they cherry-picking data to paint a rosier picture? It certainly seems that way.

A Fool and His SOL Are Soon Parted

Upexi's Solana strategy looks less like a calculated bet and more like a high-stakes gamble in a volatile market. Staking rewards are a mirage, and the focus on unrealized gains ignores the very real risk of further price declines.

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